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CPI (Consumer Price Index) rose 1.3% 9.1% annualized

Most likely a .75 rate hike coming. Chances of recession going up. Lot of people predicting a lessening of inflation in the second half. Hope they're right! Expectations of a 3.6% fed funds rate next year.





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Interest rate predictions from Morningstar

A disagreement among the experts on future inflation: Combining these factors with monetary policy tightening, we expect inflation to undershoot 2% in 2023 and 2024. Worries about inflation broadening

Good yield curve article

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/05/bonds-flash-recession-warning-light-as-key-part-of-the-yield-curve-inverts-again.html

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